國務院新聞辦公室新聞發布會材料
前三季度工業通信業運行總體趨於穩定
（2012年10月25日）
工業和信息化部
今年以來，面對複雜多變的國際國內形勢，在黨中央、國務院的堅強領導下，工業和信息化系統按照穩中求進的總基調，堅持推進「穩增長、調結構、促轉型」，加快落實相關政策措施，努力減緩經濟增速下行壓力，工業經濟運行總體朝著企穩方向發展，轉型升級穩步推進，通信業發展勢頭良好。
前三季度，工業通信業運行呈現以下特點：
——工業經濟運行緩中企穩。前三季度，規模以上工業增加值同比增長10%，其中一季度增長11.6%，二季度增長9.5%，三季度增長9.1%。7、8、9三個月同比增速分別為9.2%、8.9%和9.2%。分行業看，建材、化工和有色金屬等部分原材料行業生產增速呈現出止跌企穩跡象；裝備行業中汽車產銷扭轉了年初負增長局面；消費品行業三季度仍然保持了較高增速。工業城鎮固定資產投資累計同比增長22.5%，其中製造業投資累計增長23.5%。
——穩增長政策效應逐步顯現。今年5月份以來，中央集中出臺的一系列穩增長的政策效應在工業領域進一步顯現。隨著保障性安居工程建設、鐵路和水利等基礎設施投資增速加快，節能產品惠民工程實施範圍擴大，穩定外貿政策相繼出臺等，原材料市場出現復甦跡象，鋼材、煤炭價格有所回升，部分工程類機械產品產銷形勢也有所好轉；工業企業積極調整產品結構，家電市場形勢看好，節能家電產品佔比從不足20%提高到50%以上，智慧型手機、平板電腦等新型消費類電子產品較快增長。工業生產增勢企穩和通信業良好發展勢頭得到有力支撐。
——產業轉型升級有序推進。工業和信息化系統按照中央要求，努力調整結構，加大技術改造力度，中央財政預算安排技術改造專項投資計劃全部下達。重點行業兼併重組取得積極進展。列入今年淘汰落後產能名單的2761家企業落後生產線大部分已關停。嚴格落實稀土指令性生產計劃。節能減排形勢好於預期。前三季度高技術產業增加值同比增長11.7%，軟體業務收入同比增長25.8%。扶持小型微型企業發展的政策措施逐步落實。
——信息化建設步伐加快。信息化和工業化融合積極推進。三網融合取得重大進展。前三季度，電子商務整體市場規模達到5萬億元，同比增長13.7%，其中網絡零售市場交易規模達到7609億元，增幅達34.5%。全國完成電信業務總量同比增長11.9%，新增3G電話用戶7422萬戶。寬帶普及提速工程進展順利。新增寬帶接入用戶1829萬戶，光纖到戶覆蓋家庭超過7800萬戶，速率在8M以上的用戶比重達到13.4%，同比提高5.2個百分點。
與此同時也要看到，工業經濟趨穩的基礎還不夠穩固，實現穩定增長仍面臨不少困難和挑戰。
一是工業品出口形勢嚴峻。7、8兩個月我國外貿出口總額同比僅增長1%和2.7%，儘管9月份增速回升到9.9%，但整體看，由於外需持續萎縮形成的下行壓力，未來工業品出口穩定增長的難度依然很大。
二是企業利潤持續下滑，部分企業生產經營困難加大。1-8月，規模以上工業企業盈虧相抵實現利潤同比下降3.1%， 8月當月實現利潤同比下降6.2%，降幅比7月份又擴大0.8個百分點；企業成本費用增幅快於收入增幅，成本和資金壓力依然較大。部分小型微型企業更加困難。
三是部分行業產能過剩問題凸顯。在有效需求不足情況下，鋼鐵、水泥、平板玻璃等行業產能過剩問題進一步顯現，庫存下降緩慢，價格低位運行，產能利用率處於較低水平。據協會估測，煉鋼產能利用率不足75%，水泥產能利用率也維持在73%左右。
上述一些困難也從另一方面增加了工業領域加快經濟轉型升級的壓力和動力。總體看，我國工業、通信業發展的基本面仍然是好的，三季度以來我國工業、通信業運行趨於穩定的勢頭有望保持，並會繼續出現積極變化。
做好四季度的各項工作，對全面完成今年發展目標具有關鍵意義。下一步，工業和信息化系統將繼續貫徹落實黨中央、國務院的部署，按照年初確定的產業基地服務、中小企業服務、技術創新、質量品牌建設、寬帶提速、「兩化」融合深度行等6項重點工程，結合「改變機關作風年」活動，即「6+1專項行動」，重點抓好以下幾方面工作：一是堅持把穩增長放在更加重要的位置，認真貫徹落實中央的一系列預調微調措施，努力保持工業通信業平穩運行；二是堅持把調結構作為加快轉變經濟發展方式的重要抓手，按照國務院發布的工業轉型升級「十二五」規劃，不失時機地推進結構調整；三是堅持把幫扶企業渡難關作為重要內容，以小型微型企業為工作重點，努力夯實國民經濟持續發展的基礎；四是堅持實施寬帶中國戰略，大力推進「兩化」深度融合，努力走出一條中國特色新型工業化道路。
（以上數據除汽車、通信、軟體由相關部門、單位提供外，其他數據均來源於國家統計局或據此測算。）
Material for the press conference of the State Council Information Office
Industry and Communications Sectors Heads towards Steady Progress in General in the First Three Quarters
(October 25th 2012)
Ministry of Industry and Information Technology
Since the beginning of this year, under the guidance of the Central Party Committee and the State Council, the industry and information system, following overall requirement of 「making progress while ensuring stability」, has consistently pushed forward work focusing on 「steady growth, structure adjustment, and accelerated transformation」, accelerated the implementation of relevant policies and measures and strived to reduce the downward pressure for the industry. The industrial economy generally headed towards steady development; industrial transformation and upgrading continued to make progress; and the communications industry maintained sound momentum.
In the first three quarters, the industry and communications sectors have shown the following characteristics:
Industrial economy has enjoyed slow yet increasingly steady growth. In the first three quarters, industry above designated scale has increased by 10% year-on-year, with an increase of 11.6%, 9.5% and 9.1% in the first, second and third quarter respectively. Industrial economy has grown by 9.2%, 8.9% and 9.2% year-on-year in July, August and September respectively. From the industry perspective, some of the raw materials industries including building materials, chemical industry and non-ferrous metal have shown signs for steady development by ending previous decline. In equipment industry, the automobile industry has shaken off negative growth at the beginning of the year, while consumer goods industry has maintained relatively rapid growth in the third quarter. Accumulative industrial urban fixed asset investment rose by 22.5% year-on-year, out of which investment in manufacturing sector increased by 23.5% accumulatively.
The policies for promoting steady growth have gradually shown its effect. Since May this year, the central government has launched a series of policies to stabilize growth, the results of which have become increasingly apparent in industrial sector. Along with the progress made in affordable housing projects, accelerated growth of investment in infrastructure such as railway, water conservancy, and the expansion of coverage for implementing 「Benefiting the People with Energy-Saving Products」 project, and policies launched to stabilize foreign trade, raw materials market has shown signs of recovery with the prices of steel and coal experiencing mild increase; and the production and sales of some engineering machinery have also picked up. Industrial companies have actively adjusted the product structure. Home appliances market has enjoyed positive outlook. The market share of energy-saving home appliances products has increased from less than 20% over 50%. Smart phone, tablet computer among other consumer electronic products has enjoyed rapid growth. Such development has provided strong support to the steady growth of industrial production and sound momentum of the communications industry.
Industry upgrading and transformation have been advanced in an organized manner. Following the requirements of the central government, industry and information system has been devoted to structure adjustment and intensifying technology transformation efforts. All dedicated investment funds from the central government budget for technology renovation have been assigned to local governments. Mergers and restructuring of the enterprises in key industries have made positive progress. Most of the backward production lines of the 2761 enterprises that had been listed as targets for eliminating backward production capacity were shut down. The industry system has strictly implemented rare earth mandate production plan. Energy conservation and emission reduction results have surpassed expectation. In the first three quarters, high-tech industry has increased by 11.7% year-on-year, and revenue from software service has grown by 26.5% year-on-year. Policies and measures that support the development of small and micro enterprises have gradually been implemented.
Informatization has been accelerated. Positive progress has been made in informatization and industrialization convergence, while Triple Play has witnessed major achievements. In the first three quarters, e-commerce market has reached 5 trillion yuan, up by 13.7% year-on-year. Online retail transaction volume has reached 760.9 billion yuan, up by 34.5%. Telecommunications service volume across the country has increased by 11.9% year-on-year, with 74.22million newly-added 3G subscribers. Broadband popularization and speed enhancement project made smooth progress, adding another 18.29 million broadband subscribers. Over 78 million households are now covered by the project of Bringing Optical Fiber to the Households, with 13.4% of the subscribers enjoying speed at 8M and above, increasing by 5.2 percent year-on-year.
However, we should be clearly aware that the foundation for steady growth of industrial economy remains unstable; and we still face lots of difficulties and challenges to achieve steady growth.
First, industrial products export still faces difficulties. In July and August, total export volume of foreign trade in China grew by only 1% and 2.7% respectively. Although growth rate rose to 9.9% in September, generally speaking, it would still be very difficult for industrial export to enjoy steady growth in the near future given the downward pressure resulted from continuous weak external demand.
Second, with continuously shrinking profits, some enterprises are experiencing even greater difficulties in production and operation. From January to August, profits from industries above designated scale after offsetting profits and losses dropped by 3.1% year-on-year. In August, the profit decreased by 6.2% year-on-year, 0.8 percent lower than that in July. Cost of the enterprises grow faster than income, bring relatively large cost and capital pressure to the enterprises. Some small and micro enterprises have encountered even greater difficulties.
Third, over capacity in some industry has become an obvious problem. Under the condition of insufficient effective demand, over capacity in industries such as steel, cement, plate glass has become more acute. With slow decrease of inventory and constant low price, capacity utilization in these industries remained at a relatively low level. According to the estimation by relevant industrial association, steelmaking capacity utilization rate at present is less than 75%, cement around 73%.
The difficulties mentioned above also added to the pressure, and thus become a driving force for accelerated industrial upgrading and transformation. The fundamentals of industry and communications sectors remain sound in general. It is likely that the sectors will maintain the stabilizing trend as in the previous three quarters and take on more positive changes.
It is of significance to accomplish the work in the fourth quarter in order to achieve this year’s targets in an all-round way. In the next step, industry and information system will continue to carry out the work arranged by the Central Party Committee and the State Council at the beginning of this year, that is the six key projects, namely, industry base service, Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise service, technology innovation, quality enhancement and brand building, broadband speed promotion, in-depth convergence of informatization and industrialization. Taking into account activities held under 「the Year for Changing Government Work Approach」, i.e. 「6+1 Dedicated Action」, we will mainly focus on work from the following aspects. First, we will continue to take stabilizing growth as an important agenda and implement the pre-adjusting and micro-adjusting measures launched by the central government, and strive to maintain stable operation of the industry and communications sectors. Second, we will take structure adjustment as an important starting point to accelerate transformation of economic development mode. Following the 「12th Five-Year Plan」 for industrial upgrading and transformation issued by the State Council, we will seize the opportunity to push forward structure adjustment. Third, we will identify helping enterprises to tide over difficulties as an integral part of our work, and focus on small and micro enterprises, and strive to consolidate the foundation of the national economy for sustained development. Fourth, we will stick to Broadband China strategy and strive to enhance in-depth convergence of the industrialization and informatization so as to embark on a new type of industrialization with Chinese characteristics.
(All the statistics are provided by or estimated according to data from the National Statistics Bureau, except statistics of automobile, communications, and software, which are provided by relevant departments.)