本文轉自scg付費文章，作者是sam black，願意打賞的可以贊助我繼續開scg會員。
sodek的patron到期了我沒續費，不過他也沒發新攻略，有了新攻略我再考慮再開一個月。
The bannings of Oko, Thief of Crowns; Mox Opal; and Mycosynth Lattice represent a massive change to the Modern format,particularly for me, as I』ve been primarily playing Mox Opal decks for most of Modern’s history and exclusively Mox Opal decks with Oko, Thief of Crowns for the last few months.
These cards had really taken overthe format, and without them, there’s going to be an adjustment period, but I’mso excited to play this new Modern format that I’m sad the upcoming PT isPioneer. So what will it look like?
Let’s get one thing out of the wayfirst: Once Upon a Time is the best card in Modern. Normally, there’s been a toptier of cards, or a few cards in consideration. I don’t currently believethat’s the case. Once Upon a Time is way ahead of everything else and it’s about to becomethe most-played card in the format.
There’s a ton of overlap in thedecks that best use Once Upon a Time and the decks I’m likely to play, particularly given that Ilike playing with the best cards. A list of Once Upon a Time decks:
I don’t think that’s an exhaustivelist, but it’s most of the best options. I think every deck on that list wouldbe smart to test for an upcoming Modern tournament.
While Once Upon a Time is the best card, it’s not so good that you have to playit, it’s just the best card in a bunch of decks that I think are very good now.
The reason Once Upon a Time decks are so appealing is that they’re all fast, proactivedecks. I almost always advocate playing this kind of strategy in Modern becausethe format is diverse enough that it’s generally best to put your opponent tothe test and make them answer you rather than trying to answer everything youmight play against.
To understand what other options wehave, we have to look at the constraints/rules of engagement/pressures on theformat.
To start with, the package of Cavern of Souls, Field of the Dead, and Primeval Titan is still legal, which makes it extremely hard for controldecks to compete. I love Mystic Sanctuary, but without Oko and Urza to end the game when you need to,this interaction is extremely hard to beat. Because of this, I think bluecontrol decks need to either have access to some kind of fast combo finish, redmana for Alpine Moon / Blood Moon, or black mana for Unmoored Ego. You could maybe try to get by with Ashiok, Dream Render and some Field of Ruins or something, but it seems like an uphill battle.
On top of that, Veil of Summer is still legal. This puts another large pressure on controldecks. It’s beatable, but not easily. This makes things very hard for a decklike Grixis Death’s Shadow, which plays a game on such small marginsthat a one-mana tempo positive two for one is frequently game ending.
If Field of the Dead and Veil of Summer weren’t legal, I』d definitely be playing Mystic Sanctuary, but as is, it’s tricky to navigate. Tricky isn’timpossible, and I do have one deck I want to try before giving up on theproject:
Creatures(5)
4 Snapcaster Mage
1 Torrential Gearhulk
Planeswalkers(6)
1 Jace, the Mind Sculptor
1 Tamiyo, Collector of Tales
4 Wrenn and Six
Lands(22)
Spells(27)
4 Lightning Bolt
1 Mana Leak
4 Opt
2 Spell Snare
2 Cryptic Command
1 Spell Pierce
1 Anger of the Gods
1 Pulse of Murasa
1 Force of Negation
4 Archmage's Charm
4 Arcum's Astrolabe
2 Magmatic Sinkhole
Sideboard
Wrenn and Six is a huge winner from the banning of Oko, which was greatat attacking other planeswalkers. With that gone and Veil of Summer keeping Abrupt Decay in check, Wrenn and Six is pretty hard to answer, and it happens to line up reallywell against a lot of good decks, since Once Upon a Time is good, but it wants to be able to find mana creatures,and those have one toughness now that Gilded Goose is unplayable, since it was supporting Mox Opal and symbiotic with Oko.
Wrenn and Six is so good it might trick people into thinking Jund isgood, though I think it’s probably better in other shells.
Speaking of, here’s an idea:
Creatures(19)
1 Azusa, Lost but Seeking
4 Sakura-Tribe Scout
1 Oracle of Mul Daya
4 Primeval Titan
1 Tireless Tracker
1 Ramunap Excavator
4 Arboreal Grazer
1 Cavalier of Thorns
1 Uro, Titan of Nature's Wrath
1 Dryad of the Ilysian Grove
Planeswalkers(3)
Lands(30)
Spells(8)
4 Summoner's Pact
4 Once Upon a Time
Sideboard
This modification of Simic Titanuses Wrenn and Six to consistently hit land drops while improving the matchupagainst Noble Hierarch decks with a generous helping of Damping Spheres and Crumble to Dust to help against opposing ramp decks.
Red as a color gained a lot fromthis round of bannings, as Oko was a huge problem for red decks, especiallysince red decks are good at preying on the portion of Once Upon a Time decks that use mana creatures. Further, red removal isparticularly appealing because it gets around Veil of Summer. While I still expect Once Upon a Time to outperform it, Lightning Bolt might go as far as becoming the second most played card inthe format. They’re not to my taste, but Burn and Prowess should both berespectable decks moving forward.
Historically, I』ve been a hugeadvocate for Thoughtseize decks, but with Veil of Summer in the format, I’m really not excited about targeting myopponent or any of their creatures with black cards. At least blue can try tocounter the Veil of Summer.
I can’t think of any heavily blackdeck I』d consider other than Yawgmoth, which is really a green deck splashing(triple) black (thanks, Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth and Twilight Mire).
Dredge and CrabVine have impressedme among the non-Urza decks in Modern recently and they don’t lose any cards.This might make them appealing to some, but I think it’s a trap. I think bothdecks were good at beating/ignoring Oko, but I think in general, the role ofthis kind of Modern deck is to prey on interactive decks, and I expect thesedecks to do a lot of losing to fast combo and big mana decks, while alsosuffering from an uptick in Grafdigger’s Cage (the best card against Yawgmoth,which was poised to catch on after Aaron’s win at SCG Knoxville, but as alegitimately great deck that entirely dodged the bannings is likely to reallybreak out).
Creatures(27)
Lands(21)
Spells(12)
4 Chord of Calling
4 Eldritch Evolution
4 Once Upon a Time
Sideboard
1 Yixlid Jailer
2 Thoughtseize
1 Kitchen Finks
1 Obstinate Baloth
1 Phyrexian Revoker
1 Abrupt Decay
1 Reclamation Sage
1 Thrashing Brontodon
2 Damping Sphere
1 Assassin's Trophy
1 Plague Engineer
2 Veil of Summer
Storm could be a reasonable choice,I honestly don’t know. It’s not my kind of deck. At a glance, I』d guess it’slevel of success will hinge largely on how popular Damping Sphere is. Given that I anticipate more Amulet Titan andMono-Green Tron, I don’t think that’s good for Storm.
I haven’t talked about white aggrodecks like Humans. I could be wrong, but I think the rise of Wrenn and Six and Lightning Bolt is a big problem for them, and I also anticipate morecopies of Anger of the Gods, Blast Zone, and Engineered Explosives than I』d like to see.
This brings us back to Once Upon a Time decks.
Golgari Yawgmoth is great. Wall of Roots is a great mana creature against red decks and the undyingcreatures help pressure Wrenn and Six if that takes off. A rise in Grafdigger’s Cage could beannoying, but it’s not exactly difficult to side in a handful of Thrashing Brontodons and Abrupt Decays against most opponents. This deck is definitely on my shortlist.
Primeval Titan variants broadly are very appealing. It makes great use ofa lot of the strongest cards in the format in Once Upon a Time, Primeval Titan, and Field of the Dead. Without Oko around to incidentally turn Amulets into Elks,I suspect Amulet will likely be the best Primeval Titan deck, but I’m curious to explore the deck listed earlier aswell.
Mono-Green Devotion looked like itcould be great in Modern based on the success it had in Pioneer, but I neverput the work in because Urza was just so good. I really like the second-place list from SCG Knoxville, as Llanowar Tribe is a really clever addition. With Mycosynth Lattice banned, something else will need to replace Karn, Scion of Urza, but just replacing it with any reasonable creature thathas X in its casting cost should be a fine solution. This isanother deck that earns my seal of approval.
I don’t really have the experienceto properly assess the position of Devoted Druid variants. Specifically, I don’t know exactly which lineardecks it typically outraces. I assume it’s pretty good against most big manadecks, which makes it appealing, but if I’m wrong about that it’s almostcertainly horrible. I expect this is another deck that’s hoping red decks don’tget too much more popular, but I think that will break badly for them. Verdict:close and it has a chance, but I don’t think it』ll turn out to be a goodchoice.
You may have been surprised when Imentioned Heliod Combo. I』ve mostly seen people discuss this archetype forPioneer, but Modern offers Once Upon a Time, Spike Feeder, and Ranger-Captain of Eos, which makes comboing much easier and lets you findeverything you need with Collected Company (hitting Ranger-Captain of Eos to search for Walking Ballista). A possible build:
Creatures(29)
Lands(19)
2 Forest
2 Plains
4 Windswept Heath
2 Temple Garden
4 Horizon Canopy
4 Razorverge Thicket
1 Radiant Fountain
Spells(12)
Sideboard
Mono-Green Tron lost access to the Karn, the Great Creator / Mycosynth Lattice combo, but it’s been a deck long before Karn was printed. Veil of Summer’s presence in the format is a mixed blessing for Mono-GreenTron. On the one hand, it’s very good for them if fewer counterspells areplayed. On the other hand, it’s bad for them if more people are playing fastdecks because they can use Veil to protect their fast kills.
Tron players are hoping the Wrennand Sixes and Lightning Bolts take over and push out the Infect and Devoted Druid players. I’m not sure which way things will break, soMono-Green Tron gets a maybe for now.
Infect loses Oko, but I feel like itmostly was forced to add Oko to compete with opposing Okos, and it’s stillgained important tools in Once Upon a Time and Scale Up over the last year.
I see Infect as another deck wherethings could go either way, which probably just means it』ll have polarizedmatchups. It’s generally good at racing other proactive decks, but red gainingmetagame share (which, again, would happen because Oko was the best cardagainst them, and it’s no longer legal) would be very bad for Infect, asthey’re really not looking to play against Wrenn and Six or Lava Dart.
Modern is a huge and diverse format,and there’s always a chance that Theros Beyond Death or simpleinnovation could bring new archetypes into consideration, but this is how I seethe format in the weeks to come.