中國石化新聞網訊 據能源世界網1月2日莫斯科報導,根據周六的統計數據顯示,去年新冠疫情引起的需求疲軟和全球達成了減產協議後,俄羅斯的石油產量自2008年以來首次下降,達到自2011年以來的最低水平。
根據國際文傳電訊社援引能源部的數據顯示,去年俄羅斯的油氣凝析油日產量下降至1,027萬桶。
以噸計,油氣凝析油產量從2019年的後蘇聯創紀錄高位的5.602億噸(即1125萬桶/天)降至2020年的5.1268億噸。下降幅度與預期幾乎一致。
2020年的5.1268億噸是2011年5.1143億噸以來的最低水平,也是2008年以來在全球金融危機和油價下跌中首次出現的年度下降。
去年4月俄羅斯同意與其他主要石油生產國和石油輸出國組織(OPEC)一起,將其石油產量每天削減逾200萬桶,這是前所未有的自願削減。
此舉旨在提振受新冠疫情影響的石油市場。
自去年4月份達成協議以來,全球石油供應量創紀錄下降,這個被稱為OPEC +的組織已逐漸減少了石油削減量,並有望在1月份向市場減緩50萬桶/天。
歐佩克+將於1月4日(星期一)舉行下一次峰會。預計俄羅斯將從新年起將其石油日產量提高12.5萬桶。
負責莫斯科與歐佩克關係的俄羅斯副總理亞歷山大·諾瓦克(AlexanderNovak)表示,俄羅斯將支持從2月份開始,將該集團的日產量再增加50萬桶。
為政府提供諮詢的莫斯科智庫VYGON Consulting的分析師達裡亞·科茲洛娃(Darya Kozlova)表示,目前的市場狀況好於3月或4月,當時石油需求在第一波疫情高峰時急劇下降。由於歐佩克+的行動,市場上每天約有300萬桶的赤字。
許多國家/地區已經開始進行新冠疫苗接種。 因此,我們可能會看到一月份商定再增加50萬桶/天。進一步的行動將取決於市場情況。
郝芬 譯自 能源世界網
原文如下:
Russian annual oil output falls for the first time since 2008 on OPEC+ deal, pandemic
Oil production in Russia declined last year for the first time since 2008 and reached its lowest level since 2011 following a global deal to cut output and sluggish demand caused by the coronavirus, statistics showed on Saturday.
Russian oil and gas condensate output declined to 10.27 million barrels per day (bpd) last year, according to energy ministry data cited by the Interfax news agency.
In tonnes, oil and gas condensate output dropped to 512.68 million in 2020 from a post-Soviet record-high of 560.2 million, or 11.25 million bpd, in 2019.
The sharp decline was almost in line with expectations.
The 512.68 million tonnes reading for 2020 was the lowest since 511.43 million tonnes in 2011, and the first annualised decline since 2008 amid the global financial crisis and falling oil prices.
Russia agreed to reduce its oil production in April last year by more than 2 million barrels per day, an unprecedented voluntary cut, along with other leading oil producers and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
The move was designed to bolster the oil market beset by the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Since the April agreement, a record for global supply reductions, the group known as OPEC+ has progressively reduced the cuts and is expected to release an extra 500,000 bpd into the market in January.
OPEC+ is due to hold its next summit on Monday, Jan. 4. Russia has been expected to increase its oil output by 125,000 bpd from the New Year.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, in charge of Moscow's ties with OPEC+, has said Russia would support a gradual increase of the group's output by another 500,000 bpd starting in February.
Darya Kozlova, an analyst at VYGON Consulting, a Moscow think tank that advises the government, said the market is in better shape now than it was in March or April, when oil demand declined sharply at the height of the first wave of the pandemic.
"There is a deficit of around 3 million barrels per day on the market because of the actions by OPEC+," she said.
"Vaccination (against COVID-19) has started in many countries. So we will probably see a tactical increase by another 500,000 bpd (agreed) in January. Further actions will depend on the market situation."