每日一讀| The next catastrophe

2021-02-15 莉莉麻辣教室

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本文選自經濟學人6月27日刊

新的一期經濟學人出來啦,由於這段時間小組作業個人作業實在太多(這兩個月都每天上課不停歇的節奏),未能及時每天更新,但是有新的期刊出來了肯定首先分享給大家喲

Such an eventuality was admittedly highly unlikely. But given the consequences, it made actuarial sense to see if any impact was on the cards, and at the time no one was troubling themselves to look. 

【lily解讀:公認這種事情發生的可能性極小。但是考慮到後果,從精算意義上看,是否真的有可能發生,在那個時候是沒有人讓困擾去看待這些影響的。】

⚠️PHRASE  on the cards adv. 可能

Asteroid strikes were an extreme example of the world’s wilful ignorance, perhaps—but not an atypical one. Low-probability, high-impact events are a fact of life. Individual humans look for protection from them to governments and, if they can afford it, insurers. Humanity, at least as represented by the world’s governments, reveals instead a preference to ignore them until forced to react—even when foresight’s price-tag is small. It is an abdication of responsibility and a betrayal of the future. 

【lily解讀:小行星的襲擊也許是世界上故意表現無知的一個極端例子,但這不是非典型事件。低概率且影響大的事件才是生活中的事實。各個人都希望獲得政府的保護,如果他們負擔得起的話,還包括保險公司的保護。至少在世界各國政府的展示下,(即使當有先見之明的代價很小)人性展現出了一種先無視,直到避無可避被迫做出反應為止的偏好。這是責任的放棄,是對未來的背叛。】

Pandemics are disasters that governments have experience of. What therefore of truly novel threats? The blazing hot corona which envelops the Sun—seen to spectacular effect during solar eclipses—intermittently throws vast sheets of charged particles out into space. These   cause the Northern and Southern Lights and can mess up electric grids and communications. But over the century or so in which electricity has become crucial to much of human life, the Earth has never been hit by the largest of these solar eructations. 

【lily解讀:疫情是政府經歷的災難。真正意義上新的威脅是什麼?籠罩著太陽的熾烈熱電暈—在日食期間可以看到壯觀的效果—間歇性地將大量帶電粒子拋出太空。這些會引起北極和南方的燈光,並可能使電網和通信混亂。地球從未遭受過其中最大的太陽爆發的襲擊,但是在一個世紀以來,電力已成為人類生活中至關重要。】

這裡的corona呼應covid-19的corona virus喲。

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