目前可公開的情報
（1）Oxfam：樂施會
樂施會（Oxfam）是國際發展及救援的非政府組織，2018/2019年度，樂施會在全球90個國家，和超過1萬5千個夥伴合作推展扶貧工作，合共支援了超過1千950萬人。
樂施會1942年由Theodore Richard Milford 法政牧師（1896年—1987年）及一群志同道合的朋友在英國牛津成立，原名英國牛津饑荒救治委員會（Oxford Committee for Famine Relief）。組成目的是在二戰運送食糧到被同盟國封鎖的納粹德國佔領的希臘。1963年，加拿大成立了英國以外第一家樂施會。1965年起改以電報地址「OXFAM」作為名稱。
https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%A8%82%E6%96%BD%E6%9C%83英文原視頻
4分43秒，可以一次性聽完
https://www.ted.com/talks/joseph_nye_global_power_shifts
（該視頻和下方文稿均來自該網址，點擊「閱讀原文」可見）
中文複述錄音
本人的最終版本，無筆記，沒還原所有細節，抓大放小。
能力有限，並不完美，歡迎批評指正。
自評
英文版文稿
I'm going to talk to you about power in this 21st century. And basically, what I'd like to tell you is that power is changing, and there are two types of changes I want to discuss. One is power transition, which is change of power amongst states. And there the simple version of the message is it's moving from West to East. The other is power diffusion, the way power is moving from all states West or East to non-state actors. Those two things are the huge shifts of power in our century. And I want to tell you about them each separately and then how they interact and why, in the end, there may be some good news.When we talk about power transition, we often talk about the rise of Asia. It really should be called the recovery or return of Asia. If we looked at the world in 1800, you'd find that more than half of the world's people lived in Asia and they made more than half the world's product. Now fast forward to 1900: half the world's people -- more than half -- still live in Asia, but they're now making only a fifth of the world's product. What happened? The Industrial Revolution, which meant that all of a sudden, Europe and America became the dominant center of the world. What we're going to see in the 21st century is Asia gradually returning to being more than half of the world's population and more than half of the world's product. That's important and it's an important shift. But let me tell you a little bit about the other shift that I'm talking about, which is power diffusion. To understand power diffusion put this in your mind: computing and communications costs have fallen a thousandfold between 1970 and the beginning of this century. Now that's a big abstract number. But to make it more real, if the price of an automobile had fallen as rapidly as the price of computing power, you could buy a car today for five dollars. Now when the price of any technology declines that dramatically, the barriers to entry go down. Anybody can play in the game. So in 1970, if you wanted to communicate from Oxford to Johannesburg to New Delhi to Brasilia and anywhere simultaneously, you could do it. The technology was there. But to be able to do it, you had to be very rich -- a government, a multinational corporation, maybe the Catholic Church -- but you had to be pretty wealthy. Now, anybody has that capacity, which previously was restricted by price just to a few actors. If they have the price of entry into an Internet cafe -- the last time I looked, it was something like a pound an hour -- and if you have Skype, it's free. So capabilities that were once restricted are now available to everyone. And what that means is not that the age of the State is over. The State still matters. But the stage is crowded. The State's not alone. There are many, many actors. Some of that's good: Oxfam, a great non-governmental actor. Some of it's bad: Al Qaeda, another non-governmental actor. But think of what it does to how we think in traditional terms and concepts. We think in terms of war and interstate war. And you can think back to 1941 when the government of Japan attacked the United States at Pearl Harbor. It's worth noticing that a non-state actor attacking the United States in 2001 killed more Americans than the government of Japan did in 1941. You might think of that as the privatization of war. So we're seeing a great change in terms of diffusion of power.中文版文稿
註：中文文稿來自TED官網，但本篇的power應譯為「權力」而非「權利」，還有一些地方翻得不夠好，大家可以批判借鑑~
我想討論的是21世紀的權利。基本上我想告訴大家的 是權利的變化，有兩種變化 是我想探討的。一種是權利的轉移，國家和國家之間的權利變化。這是對權利轉移的簡單解讀，即權利正從西方轉移到東方。另一種是權利的分散，即權利的轉移 是從西方和東方的各個國家到非國家的範圍。 以上兩種情況是本世紀權利的 重要轉移。我想分別說說這兩種情況和它們之間的相互影響以及為什麼說最終可能是個好消息。 說到權利的轉移，我們經常會提起亞洲的崛起。確切地說應該稱作亞洲的復興或者亞洲的回歸。回顧19世紀的世界，你會發現世界上一半以上的人口都居住在亞洲 而且他們生產的產品佔了世界總量的一半以上。現在我們來看20世紀，世界上一般的人口——超過一半——仍然在亞洲居住，但是他們的生產總值進佔全球的五分之一。這是為什麼呢？工業革命，也就是說突然之間，歐洲和美國 成為主導世界的中心。 而到了21世紀，我們看到的 是亞洲將重新回到佔世界一半以上人口和生產總值的位置。這很重要，而且是一次重大的權利轉移。但是接下來我要和你們探討一下剛才提到的另外一種轉移，那就是權利分散。 要理解權利分散就要明白一點： 計算和交流的成本已經降到原來的千分之幾 從1970年 到本世紀初。這個數字很大，很抽象，但是具體來說，如果汽車價格 的降幅和計算機的降幅一樣， 那麼今天你只花五美元，就可以買輛車。那麼如果所有的技術價格都以這個幅度下跌，獲得這一技術的門檻就會降低；人人都可以享有。從20世紀70年代開始，如果你想從牛津到約翰尼斯堡或到新德裡或到巴西利亞 或是其他任何地方獲得即時通訊，是可行的，因為技術已經發展到了這個階段。但是要真正做到這一點，你需要很有錢才行——你要麼是政府，要麼是跨國公司，也可能是基督教堂不過你得及其有錢才行。但是幾天人人都能享有這些技術，以前人們受到價格的制約只有少數人才能享有，如果人們有足夠的錢去網吧——我上次查到的價格大概是每小時一磅左右——但是如果你用Skype，是免費的。所以曾經被限制的能力現在人人都可以享有。 這並不意味著國家的時代結束了。國家依然很重要。但是舞臺是很擁擠的。國家不可能單獨存在。還有很多很多的角色。其中有一些是好的角色。比如牛津饑荒救濟委員會（樂施會） 就是一個很重要的非政府角色。其中也有一些是不好的。蓋達組織，是另一個非政府角色。但是試想這些對我們傳統的思維方式和觀念有哪些改變。我們過去考慮的是戰爭和內戰。大家可以想一想1941年，日本政府日本政府襲擊美國珍珠港。只得注意的是在2001年，一個非政府的角色襲擊了美國在這次襲擊中喪生的美國人超過了1941年日本政府的行為。你可能會想戰爭已經不再是國家行為。因此我們看到的是權力分散的一個重大變化。本篇演講結構/思維導圖