中國石化新聞網訊 據石化新聞2020年12月4日休斯敦報導,全球聚乙烯市場預計進入2021年將面臨供應過剩的局面,就像2020年初看到的那樣,這可能會壓低價格。2020年颶風襲擊美國墨西哥灣沿岸,造成聚乙烯產量緊縮,導致聚乙烯價格飆升。
除了在8月和10月美國颶風襲擊路易斯安那州西南部和德克薩斯州東南部後恢復正常情況外,亞洲的新聚乙烯產能也隨時準備啟動。
雖然在全球冠狀病毒疫情大流行期間,聚乙烯的需求在很大程度上保持彈性,但由於各地區面臨新冠肺炎感染數激增和持續失業的問題,相對於冠狀病毒疫情爆發前水平的整體需求疲軟預計將持續下去。
能源諮詢分析公司石化行業高級主管羅伯?斯蒂爾日前表示,「隨著2021年的到來,在墨西哥灣沿岸由颶風蘿拉(Laura)引發的眾多聚乙烯廠停產將會結束。由於產能回歸市場,聚乙烯供應將會增加,聚乙烯價格將面臨壓力。"
李峻 編譯自 石化新聞
原文如下:
Global polyethylene markets expecting oversupply in H1 2021
Global polyethylene markets were expected to enter 2021 facing oversupply, much like that seen in early 2020, which could soften prices that soared when output tightened amid a one-two punch from 2020 hurricanes that hit the US Gulf Coast.
New capacity was on tap to start up in Asia, in addition to restoration of normal rates in the aftermath of US hurricanes that hit Southwest Louisiana and Southeast Texas in August and October.
While PE demand has been largely resilient throughout the global coronavirus pandemic, overall softness compared to pre-coronavirus levels was largely expected to linger as regions struggle with infection surges and continued unemployment.
"As we head into 2021, the numerous plant outages that started in the US Gulf Coast with Hurricane Laura and then expanded globally will come to an end," said Rob Stier, senior lead of petrochemicals. "As capacity returns to the market, supply will increase and prices will come under pressure."