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[3]具體包括American Political Science Review(APSR), American Jounal of Political Science (AUPS),BritishJournal of Political Scienc(BJPS),European Journal of Inaermationad Relations(EJIR),Internatinad Organization(IO), Interuational Secrity (I5),Intermational Studies Quarterly (ISQ), Journal of Conlict Resolution (JCR),Joumal of Peace Research (JPR), Journad of Politics (J0P), Security Studies (SS), and World Politics ( WP).
[4]Duniel Malinink, Susan Peterson and Michael J. Tiemey, Intemational Relations in the US Academy ,Irnsemational Studies Quaterly,Vol.55, 2011, pp. 437-464.
[5]例如,Juѕtіn Grіmmer and Brand on Ѕteward,Text as Data: The Promіѕe and Pіfallѕ of Automatіc Con-tent Analysis Methods for Political Texts,Political Analysis, Vol.21,No.3, 2013, pp. 267297。
[6]Stephen L.Morgan,Counterfactuals and Causal Inference:Methods and Principles for Social Research,Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,2007.
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[10]閻學通、孫學峰:《國際關係研究實用方法》, 北京:人民 出版社2001年版。
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[13]Peter Kragelund,The Retum of Non-DAC Donors to Africa: New Prospects for African Devel opment?Derelopment Policy Reriew , Vol.26, No.5, 2008, pp. 555--584.
[14]Xun Pang,Modeling Heterogeneity and Serial Comrelation in Binary Tïme-Seriea Croea Sectional Data: ABayesian Multilevel Model with AR(p) Erors and Non-Nested Clusterings,Political Analysis,Vol. 18, No. 4,2010, pp. 470-498.
[15]Virginia Page Fortna,Does Peacekeeping Keep Peace? Intemational Intervention and the Duration of Peace after Civil War,International Studies Quarterly, VoL.48, No.2, 2004, pp. 269-292.
[16]Helen V. Milner and Keiko Kubota,Why the Move to Free Trade? Democracy and Trade Policy in theDeveloping Coantries,International Organization, Vol.59, No.1, 2005, pp. 107-143.
[17]兩篇文章中使用的都是非線性模型。非線性模型中X對Y的影響往往不僅僅取決於其參數,但是由於對其他因素進行了控制,關於變量之間關係的假設檢驗仍然可以簡化為對係數的檢驗。
[18]關於隨機抽樣的入門介紹,可參見Alan Agresti and Barbara Finlay, Stistical Methods for the Sociad ci-ences,Upper Saddle River: Prentice Hall, 99, chapter 20 #FR# Í!93JB5 rr,l Earl Babbie, ThePractice af Social Research, Belmont: Wadsworth, 2010.
[19] 關於測量誤差的種類及其影響,可參見Jeffrey M. Woldridge,Econometric Analysis of Cross Secion andPaned Daia, Cambridge: MIT Press,2001, chapter 4. 4.
[20]http://www. columbіa. edu/vpf4/ reѕearch. htm,登陸時間:2013年12月18日; http://ww. prіnceton. edu/'hmilnetr' published. html ,登陸時間:2013年12月18日。
[21]Julian J. Faraway, Linear Models wvith R, Boca Raton: Chapman & Hal/CRC, 2005.
[22]Donald B.Rubin,Multiple Imputation for Nanresponse in Suneya,New York:Wiley-Interscience, 2004;Joeph L.Schafer and Recai M. Yucel,Compulatinal Stntegies for Multivariale Linear Mixed-effeots Models withMissing Values,Journal of Computational & Graphical Statitics,VoL.11, No.2, 2002, pp. 437457; XiaoweiYang.Markow Tranaition Models for Binary Repeated Measures with Ignorable and Nomignomuble Missing Values ,Statisticadl Methods in Medical Rearch, Vol. 16, No.4, 2007, pp. 347364;James Homaker,et ul,What to Do about Missing Values in Time Series Cross-Section Data,American Journal of Political Sciencr, Vol.54, No.3, 2010, pp.561581¡ Gury King,et al.,Analyring Incomplete Pclitical Science Duta:An Altemutive Algo-rithm for Multiple Imputation,American Poltical Science Rerieue, VoL.95, No.1, 2001, pp. 49-69.
[23]Helen v. Milner and Keiko Kubơta,Why the Move to Free Trade? Democrmcy and Trade Policy in the Developing Countries,p. 121.
[24]Virginia Page Fartna, Does Peacekeeping Keep Peace! International Intervention and the Duration of Peace after Civil War,pp.272- 274.
[25]Judea Pearl,Causality:Modelt,Reasoning and Inference ,Cambridge: Cambridge University Presa,2009.
[26]James 0. Berger and Thomas Sellke, Testing a Point Null Hypothesis:The lrreouciliabilit oP Valuesand Evidence,Journal of the American Statistical Association . VoL 82, No. 397, 1987, pp.112-122; EduardBrandetatter,Confidence Intervals as an Altemative to Significance Teating,Methods of Psychological Research Online, Vol.4,1999,pp. 32-46.
[27]Vinginia Page Fortna,Does Peacekeeping Keep Peace? Intermational Intervention and the Duration of Peace after Civil War,p. 284.
[28]Stephen Chaudoin,Helen Milner and Xun Pang, Intemationul Systems and Domestic Palitics:Linking Complex Interactions with Empirical Models in International Relations,Conditonally accepted(有條件接受) by Insermational Organization。